The Time Value of Money (2023 CFA® Level I Exam – Quantitative Methods – Module 1)

This lecture covers the fundamental concept of the time value of money, emphasizing its importance in financial decision-making. Students will learn how to calculate future and present values, underst

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Understanding the Time Value of Money for CFA Level I

Finance — Time Value of MoneyBasic financial mathematicsUnderstanding of interest ratesFamiliarity with financial calculators

This lecture covers the fundamental concept of the time value of money, emphasizing its importance in financial decision-making. Students will learn how to calculate future and present values, understand compounding, and apply these principles using financial calculators. The content is tailored for those preparing for the CFA Level I exam.

1

Understanding Time Value of Money

0:04

The time value of money means that money accumulates value over time. This concept is based on the principle of compounding, where interest is earned on both the initial principal and the accumulated interest.

Key action words for learning outcomes include interpret, explain, and demonstrate. Understanding different types of interest rates is necessary for financial calculations, and using a financial calculator is essential for solving time value of money problems.

Receiving money today is generally preferred over receiving the same amount in the future due to potential investment opportunities. Inflation can also affect the value of money over time, making present money more valuable.

For example, if an investor has 100 will grow to $110 in one year.

  • ★The time value of money means that money accumulates value over time.0:04
  • ★Compounding refers to earning interest on both the principal and accumulated interest.0:30
  • ★Receiving money today is preferred over receiving the same amount in the future.2:30
  • ★ today grows to in one year at a interest rate.3:00
Future value calculation for one year.
Future value calculation for two years.
Example: If an investor has 110 in one year at a 10% interest rate.3:00
2

Calculating Future Value Efficiently

4:08

Consider investing 1000.0434674.3467104.3467$.

The 'new short way math' combines these steps. We use the time value factor, defined as , where is the interest rate and is the number of periods. Thus, we calculate the future value as .

If we want to calculate the future value two years from now, we must account for compounding. The future value is not simply for the second year. Instead, we calculate it as .

  • ★The time value factor is .4:08
  • ★The 'old long way math' requires separate multiplication and addition.4:10
  • ★The 'new short way math' combines calculations into one formula.4:14
  • ★Compounding interest affects future value calculations.4:30
This formula calculates future value (FV) based on present value (PV), interest rate (r), and number of periods (n).
This is the time value factor used in the new short way math.
Example: Using the new method, the future value after one year is .4:20
3

Compounding and Financial Calculators

7:26

Compounding adds an extra dollar on top of interest and principal. For an initial amount of at an interest rate of 10\text{%} over two periods, the future value is . This is calculated using the formula .

To compute future values, a financial calculator can be used. Ensure the calculator is set to two decimal places for precision. Adjust the payments per year to one for annual compounding.

When using the financial calculator, input the present value, interest rate, and number of periods. The order of inputs does not matter, but the output depends on which variable is being solved.

  • ★The future value with compounding is instead of .7:26
  • ★Use the formula for future value calculations.7:26
  • ★Set payments per year to for annual compounding in the calculator.7:26
  • ★The future value is displayed as a negative number in the calculator.7:26
Calculates the future value after two periods.
Calculates the interest for one period.
Calculates the total future purchase amount.
Example: Using a financial calculator, input as present value, 10\text{%} as interest rate, and as the number of periods to compute the future value of .7:26
4

Calculating Present and Future Values

12:25

The time value of money applies equally to both sides of a financial contract. We can compute future value using present value and interest rate. For example, if Bob saves $500 today at a 7% interest rate, we can calculate the future value after five years.

Using a financial calculator, we input 5n7i701.

In another scenario, if Betty needs 11n9i1,000387.

  • ★Future value can be computed from present value and interest rate.12:25
  • ★Input order in financial calculators does not affect the outcome.12:25
  • ★Example: grows to in five years.12:25
  • ★To achieve in 11 years at , save today.12:25
Future value calculation formula.
Present value calculation formula.
Example: Bob saves 701.12:26
5

Calculating Interest Rates and Annuities

15:48

When calculating interest rates, present value should be entered as negative. For example, if Bill has 92 in six years, we enter , , , and to compute the interest rate, which results in . If both present value and future value are positive, the calculator will indicate no solution exists.

An annuity is defined as a series of equal payments made at regular intervals. Bonnie promises to pay PV = 0n = 8i = 11PMT = 200FV = 23.71$.

In another example, Bruce has PV = -9000n = 7i = 3FV = 0PMT = 1444.55$. This illustrates how to enter four variables and solve for the fifth.

The required rate of return is interpreted as the minimum return expected from an investment. This is crucial when entering a contract, as it defines the expected cash flows.

  • ★Present value should be negative when calculating interest rates.15:48
  • ★An annuity consists of equal payments made at regular intervals.15:56
  • ★Bonnie's payment of $200 per year for eight years is an ordinary annuity.16:04
  • ★Bruce's present value of $9000 allows calculation of annual payments.16:13
  • ★The required rate of return is the minimum expected return from an investment.17:00
This slide outlines how to interpret interest rates.
This formula calculates the future value of an annuity.
Example: Bill needs 49 today, leading to an interest rate of .15:50
6

Required Rate of Return and Interest Rates

20:47

The required rate of return is the minimum return an investor must earn to justify an investment. For example, if a lender requires 10 percent on a $100 loan, the borrower must earn at least 10 percent to satisfy the contract.

The discount rate is a key concept in the time value of money. It is used to calculate the present value of future cash flows. This rate reflects the opportunity cost of capital.

Opportunity cost is the value of the best alternative that is foregone when making an investment decision. If a more profitable opportunity arises after lending money, the investor may regret the decision.

Interest rates can be broken down into a real risk-free rate and various risk premiums. The real risk-free rate represents the return on an investment with no risk of financial loss.

  • ★The required rate of return is the minimum return an investor must earn.20:47
  • ★The discount rate is used to calculate present value of future cash flows.20:55
  • ★Opportunity cost is the value of the best alternative foregone.21:05
  • ★Interest rates consist of a real risk-free rate and risk premiums.21:15
This formula breaks down the components of an interest rate.
Example: If a lender requires a 10% return on a 10 to satisfy the lender.20:50
7

Collateral and Interest Rates

25:47

Collateral, like the Pink Panther diamond, makes a loan risk-free. If I lend you $50,000 and you provide this diamond as collateral, I am guaranteed to get my capital and interest back.

The real interest rate reflects how much better off you want to be over time, accounting for inflation. If a loaf of bread costs 1.10 next year, the inflation rate is 10%.

To calculate the nominal interest rate, add the real interest rate to the inflation rate. For example, if the real rate is 2% and inflation is 10%, the nominal rate is 2\text{%} + 10\text{%} = 12\text{%}.

Additional premiums are added to the nominal interest rate. A default risk premium accounts for the borrower's creditworthiness, while a liquidity premium reflects the opportunity cost of lending for different time periods.

  • ★Collateral makes a loan risk-free.25:47
  • ★Real interest rate measures improvement in quality of life over time.25:55
  • ★Nominal interest rate = real rate + inflation rate.26:15
  • ★Default risk premium is based on borrower creditworthiness.26:30
  • ★Liquidity premium reflects opportunity cost of lending.26:45
This formula calculates the nominal interest rate.
Example calculation of nominal interest rate.
Example: If I charge a 2% real rate and 10% inflation, the total interest charged is 12%.26:20
8

Interest Rates and Premiums

30:47

When lending money, you give up access to that capital, leading to a liquidity premium. For example, you might charge 1% for a one-month loan and 4% for a one-year loan. This illustrates how interest rates can vary significantly based on the duration of the loan.

The maturity risk premium reflects the additional risk associated with longer loan durations. If you need to sell your loan in the secondary market, a one-month loan will typically sell for a higher price than a one-year loan due to this risk.

The overall interest rate can be calculated using several components: the real risk-free rate, expected inflation premium, default risk premium, liquidity premium, and maturity premium. The formula is .

The effective annual interest rate (EAR) accounts for different compounding frequencies. The formula is .

  • ★Liquidity premium is charged for giving up access to capital.30:48
  • ★Interest rates vary by loan duration, e.g., 1% for one month and 4% for one year.30:55
  • ★Maturity risk premium reflects the risk of longer loan durations.31:02
  • ★The overall interest rate includes multiple premiums: .31:10
  • ★Effective annual interest rate (EAR) is calculated from stated annual rate and compounding frequency.31:25
This formula calculates the overall interest rate.
This formula calculates the effective annual interest rate.
Example: For a stated interest rate of 10% compounded quarterly, the effective annual rate is or 10.38%.30:55
9

Effective Annual Rate and Present Value

35:44

The effective annual rate (EAR) increases with more frequent compounding. For example, compounding quarterly gives an EAR of 10.38%, while compounding monthly results in an EAR of 10.47%. This illustrates that the more frequent the compounding, the higher the effective annual rate.

The formula for future value is given by , where is the interest rate in decimal form and is the number of compounding periods. This formula shows how an initial amount grows over time due to compounding.

To find present value, rearrange the future value formula: . This allows us to determine how much needs to be saved today to achieve a desired future amount.

When dealing with different compounding periods, adjustments are necessary. The formula becomes , where is the number of compounding periods per year. This accounts for the frequency of compounding.

  • ★The effective annual rate (EAR) increases with more frequent compounding.35:45
  • ★Future Value formula: .35:46
  • ★Present Value formula: .35:47
  • ★Adjust for different compounding periods with .35:48
  • ★Compounding allows initial savings to grow over time.35:49
Future value formula.
Present value formula.
Present value formula for different compounding periods.
Example: To have $10,000 at the end of year three with a 10% annual return compounded quarterly, calculate the present value using the adjusted formula.35:49
10

Adjusting Present Value Calculations

40:42

When calculating present value with quarterly compounding, adjust the annual interest rate by dividing by four. For example, an annual rate of 10\text{%} becomes 2.5\text{%} per quarter.

The number of periods for three years of quarterly compounding is quarters. Thus, set and i/y = 2.5\text{%} in your financial calculator to compute the present value accurately.

  • ★Adjust the denominator for quarterly calculations by dividing the annual rate by .40:42
  • ★Set and i/y = 2.5\text{%} for quarterly compounding over three years.40:42
  • ★Changing the payments per year (p/y) setting can lead to errors if not reverted.40:42
  • ★Present value can be calculated using both the time value factor formula and a financial calculator with adjustments.40:42
This formula calculates present value by discounting future value.
Example: Using a financial calculator with and i/y = 2.5\text{%} yields a present value of .40:42
11

Future Value and Annuities

43:27

The future value (FV) of a loan can be calculated using the formula . For a 209,530$.

An annuity is a series of consecutive equal cash flows over a fixed period. An ordinary annuity consists of equal payments starting one period from today, while an annuity due consists of equal payments starting today.

Mortgage payments are an example of an ordinary annuity, where payments are made monthly. Insurance premiums are an example of an annuity due, where the first payment is made at the beginning of the period.

To adjust the present value and future value of an annuity due, multiply by . The calculation for an annuity due is more complex than for an ordinary annuity.

  • ★The future value formula is .43:27
  • ★An ordinary annuity starts payments one period from today.43:35
  • ★An annuity due starts payments today.43:42
  • ★Mortgage payments are ordinary annuities; insurance premiums are annuity dues.43:50
  • ★Multiply by to adjust for annuity due calculations.44:00
Present Value of an ordinary annuity.
Future Value of an ordinary annuity.
Present Value of an annuity due.
Future Value of an annuity due.
Example: For an annuity of $200 per year over 15 years, calculate the future value using the annuity formulas.44:40
12

Calculating Annuity Premiums

48:25

To determine the premium for an annuity, identify if it is an ordinary annuity or an annuity due. An ordinary annuity has payments that begin one year from today, while an annuity due has payments that begin today.

Using the time value of money formula, the calculated premium for the annuity is . To calculate using a BA II Plus calculator, switch from end mode to beginning mode using the second function.

After solving an annuity due problem, remember to switch the calculator back to end mode. This prevents errors in subsequent calculations.

Constructing a timeline helps visualize cash flows. For example, cash flows of , , , and over five periods with a 5\text{%} interest rate can be represented on a timeline.

  • ★An ordinary annuity has payments starting one year from today.48:25
  • ★An annuity due has payments starting today.48:25
  • ★The premium for the annuity calculated is .48:25
  • ★Switch calculator to beginning mode for annuity due calculations.48:25
  • ★Always switch back to end mode after solving an annuity due problem.48:25
  • ★Timelines help visualize cash flows, especially for unequal amounts.48:25
Example: Cash flows of , , , and over five periods at 5\text{%} interest rate can be visualized on a timeline.48:25
13

Components of Interest Rates

53:25

Know the components of an interest rate. Key concepts include liquidity, maturity, and opportunity cost. These will be revisited throughout the CFA Level I readings.

Be familiar with the steps leading to calculator outputs. This knowledge is essential for exam success.

  • ★Liquidity is a key concept in interest rates.53:25
  • ★Maturity affects the interest rate.53:26
  • ★Opportunity cost is a fundamental concept in finance.53:27
  • ★Familiarity with calculator outputs is necessary.53:28

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